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Tuesday, March 18, 2014
Thursday, March 13, 2014
Double MAP!
In his 2014 State of the State address, Governor Quinn proposed doubling
funding for the Illinois Monetary Awards Program (MAP). “So, over the next five years – let’s
double the number of MAP college scholarships for students in need in Illinois.
Our MAP scholarship program currently helps 140,000 students go to college.” He
argued that “By doubling the number of MAP scholarships, we can make sure
deserving students in need are equipped to excel in the 21st century
workplace.”
I applaud this initiative
from Governor Quinn. Doubling MAP funding will go a long way towards helping
students in Illinois afford postsecondary education. I have blogged about MAP
grants on the Education Policy blog before, but in this post I will look
more closely at this recent proposal from Governor Quinn to get a better
understanding of what doubling MAP funding would mean.
Will doubling
MAP result in all eligible students receiving an award?
If
we use the number in Governor Quinn’s speech, then currently 140,000 students
receive MAP. Doubling the number of MAP recipients would enable 280,000
students to receive awards.
Data
from the 2012 ISAC
Databook
shows that there were a total of 158,349 recipients who received MAP awards. With
this base, doubling MAP would actually yield 316,698 awards.
In
FY 2012 there were 369,674 students eligible for MAP. In that year, less than
half – 158,349 students – received MAP awards.
If
MAP had been doubled in FY 2012…
…
and 280,000 students had received MAP grants, then 89,674 eligible students
would have gone without MAP awards.
…
and 316,698 students had received MAP grants, then 52,976 eligible students
would have gone without MAP awards.
Even
with my quick back-of-the-envelope calculations, it is clear that doubling MAP
funding will not provide awards to all eligible students in Illinois. Even
doubling the awards will still leave approximately 50,000-90,000 eligible
students without MAP awards.
I
applaud Governor Quinn’s proposal. Doubling MAP will go a long way towards
enabling all eligible students to receive awards. However, even this level of
investment is not enough to meet the current needs of the state. A larger
investment in MAP is likely needed.
What will it
cost to double MAP?
In
FY 2012, the state spent a total of $411,604,561 on MAP grants. If we assume
that there will not be any changes to the MAP program, then doubling the number
of recipients could be financed by doubling the state appropriation for MAP to $823,209,122.
Unfortunately, it is not clear if there will be approximately $823 million
available for the MAP program in the state budget.
Do students who
are eligible for MAP really need the award?
In
FY 2012 there were 211,325 eligible students who did not receive a MAP award.
These are individuals who applied for MAP funds and would have received an
award if there had been enough funds available.
To
give a sense of the financial need faced by these individuals, I think it is
helpful to consider the average family income of students who qualified for MAP.
Table 1 shows the burden of college prices for students who qualified for MAP
awards. It shows data for both dependent students, who have parental help in
paying for college, and independent students, who do not have parental financial
support for college.
In
FY 2012, mean family income of dependent students who were eligible for MAP
awards was $30,822. For independent students, mean family income of students
eligible for MAP awards was $15,762. In 2012, the federal poverty
threshold
for a family of four was $23,492. This means that the average independent
student who qualified for MAP was living below the federal poverty line and
that many of the dependent students were also below this threshold.
According
to the College Board, in the
2011-12 academic year average published tuition and fees in Illinois were
$3,259 at community colleges, $12,025 at public four-year institutions, and
$29,483 at private non-profit four year institutions. The price at a for-profit
institution was $16,814. Students who were eligible for MAP awards were most
likely to attend community colleges (44% of dependent students and 65% of
independent students). The percent of mean family income needed to pay average
tuition at community colleges was 14% for dependent students and 22% for
independent students. This is a substantial portion of the family’s total
income, but community colleges were the most affordable option. At public
four-year institutions, dependent students who qualified for MAP would need to
pay nearly 36% of their total family income to cover tuition without a MAP
award, on average. For independent students, public four year institutions
represented a whopping 85% of their total family income, on average. If a
student decided to attend DeVry University (a for-profit institution), then a
dependent student would be required to pay over half of their total family
income (nearly 54%) to cover tuition and an independent student would need to
pay 86% of their total family income to cover tuition, on average. Private
non-profit institutions are generally out of reach for MAP-eligible students
requiring 71% of total family income from dependent students and nearly a year
and a half of total family income (147%) for independent students to attend
these institutions without financial assistance, on average. These numbers only
consider tuition and fees, not room and board, books, or other expenses that
are necessary for attending college.
Feeney and Heroff have shown
that students who are eligible for MAP but do not receive an award are less
likely to attend college. Hence, college dreams are likely to be dashed for
students who are eligible for MAP but do not receive an award. MAP-eligible
students really do need MAP awards.
Governor
Quinn is on the right track in recommending doubling MAP funding, but more will
also need to be done to ensure that financial barriers do not keep students
from attending college.
Wednesday, March 05, 2014
Education Market Failures: Dreams Deferred?
What happens to a dream deferred?
Does it dry up
like a raisin in the sun?
Or fester like a sore--
And then run?
Does it stink like rotten meat?
Or crust and sugar over--
like a syrupy sweet?
Maybe it just sags
like a heavy load.
Or does it explode?
-Lansgton Hughes
Does it dry up
like a raisin in the sun?
Or fester like a sore--
And then run?
Does it stink like rotten meat?
Or crust and sugar over--
like a syrupy sweet?
Maybe it just sags
like a heavy load.
Or does it explode?
-Lansgton Hughes
Those that believe in the
technologies of the market came to education—surveyed it, kicked the tires,
looked under the hood, and found it lacking.
To better education, they offered solutions, i.e. market solutions—in the form charters, vouchers, new curricula,
“better” teachers, the promise(s) of children not left behind, and a race to
the top. But, what happens when these
market solutions—offered most often to families and children in this country’s
direst of straits as the cure-all for what ails them—fail? Or, what happens when, as it did just last
year, a Danish
venture fund decides that the education of 10,000 Swedish children (and the
money that follows them) is not worth their while? What happens when the
market falls short and the charter
school closes or the vouchers
deliver the same or worse schooling or the “better”
teachers don’t stick around or the children are left
behind and the race—well
the race was to the middle or the bottom? What happens then?
I am less concerned with what
comes to those who believed wholeheartedly that the market could bring about
change in education without addressing issues of locale and society-at-large,
as one failure does not necessarily shake their faith. The large charter operators and edu-preneurs
use their capital to capitalize on problems without solutions, and even more,
as Kingdon
explained, attach their solutions to situations once they are
problematized. These people will more
than likely be okay—faith-shaken or not.
I am concerned, though, with those
might-be-dreamers. The aforementioned
children, their families, those communities that may be barely treading water
in those straits, and the perception of it all who have placed their stock, in
the form of their aspirations for their children, in the solutions offered to
them. To those whom it should matter, is
it considered a lesson learned or is simply “nothing ventured, nothing gained?” I doubt that it is the latter. When families campaign to have their
children in the next, new best thing, buy the school uniform (and the rhetoric)
is it, indeed, a dream deferred? When 10,000
children are displaced, what next? When
children, here or elsewhere, change schools, teachers, and classrooms—all of
which can be a difficult experience—and the school is left to close, do they
sag under the heaviness of that load?
Are the schools themselves, functionally or actually shuttered—but
nonetheless, rendering loss experienced tangibly—the festering sores seeping
out onto a community? Are these a
disappointment made real—blight objectified?
I cannot and do not know the answers to these questions (no more than
Hughes could have). But these are
questions that are, first, worth asking in the age of market ideologies
actualized in schooling, and above that, through the use of empirical methods,
worth answering.
by Paul Myers
Tuesday, March 04, 2014
Numbers Don't Always Equal Evidence: Revisiting IPI's Argument for School Choice in Rockford
On
February 23rd, Joshua Dwyer wrote an article for the Illinois
Policy Institute in which he argued that policymakers should focus on
increasing school choice in responding to Rockford's failing school system.
First, I want to make clear that I am agnostic about school choice policy as
lever for improving the education system, as I feel that neither
"side" of the argument has adequately demonstrated the effectiveness
(or lack thereof) of school choice as a lever for system-wide improvement.
However, I am not agnostic about the appropriate use of evidence and argument.
This response is not about school choice, but is about misusing evidence to
build a poor argument; which is fitting, because Mr. Dwyer's argument wasn't
really about school choice either.
Dwyer’s argument that Rockford is second highest in number of low-performing schools, while being the third highest in population (152,871 pop.) blatantly exploits the fact that Aurora, the city second highest in population (197,899 pop.), is split into two districts while Chicago and Rockford are only single districts. Most cities in Illinois have a single public school district, but Elgin is split into an east and a west district. So, while Dwyer is correct that Rockford is the third largest city with the second most low-performing schools, it is also true that Rockford is the second largest district with the second most low-performing schools.
Dwyer’s misuse of the numbers continues as he laments the low test scores in Rockford. In 2013, the percentage of students in Rockford meeting and exceeding standards dropped dramatically, as did the same percentage for most of the state. This is because the “cut scores” for determining whether a student taking the ISAT met or exceeded standards changed in 2013. Prior to the change in cut score, according to the Illinois Interactive Report Card, 60% of Rockford’s 3rd graders met or exceeded standards in reading, and 75% of Rockford’s 3rd graders met or exceeded standards in math.
The biggest, and most unforgivable, transgression in the article is the assertion that the lack of school choice is the only explanation for Rockford’s crisis (ignoring the fact that Chicago is home to some of the most aggressive charter expansion in state, perhaps the country; but, as Dwyer points out, Chicago has 45% of the lowest performing schools in the state). 78.8% of Rockford’s students are identified as “low-income,” up 26.2% since 2000. In fact, while only 36% of Rockford’s low-income 3rd grade students met or exceeded standards in reading, 70% of Rockford’s 3rd grade non-low-income students met or exceeded standards in reading. In mathematics, the split was 32% to 65%; and in science, 41% to 64%. According to the 2013 data from the Illinois State Board of Education, 23,094 of Rockford’s 28,663 students are identified as eligible for free or reduced-price lunch; and, only 277 of Rockford’s students attend a school where less than 50% of the students are eligible for free or reduced-price lunch. While, as Dwyer points out, the majority of Rockford’s students are not performing at grade level, he does not acknowledge that the majority of Rockford’s students are also low-income, or that the students that are not low-income are, for the most part, performing at or above grade level.
Mr. Dwyer presents all of his evidence of Rockford’s failure to educate students in order to arrive at the predetermined political argument that Rockford needs more school choice — although none of the evidence he provides supports the expansion of choice in any way, and none of his evidence is in any way related to school choice. Unfortunately for Mr. Dwyer, the evidence that school choice improves outcomes for students in choice schools is inconclusive (Rouse & Barrow, 2008; Usher & Kober, 2011). The evidence that school choice improves outcomes for students not in choice schools is also inconsistent (Linick, in press). However, there is a voluminous amount of evidence that demonstrates that a student’s socioeconomic status or family’s financial situation matters a great deal (Berliner & Biddle, 1995; Coleman et al., 1966; Newman & Chin, 2003; Sacks, 2007).
The existing base of evidence suggests that it is possible that increasing school choice in Rockford may improve district-wide academic achievement, but it is also suggests that school choice may hinder academic achievement, or have no effect on academic achievement at all (Linick, in press). If the Illinois Policy Institute is truly invested in improving “real-life” outcomes like high school and college graduation, employment, incarceration, and income for Rockford’s students, the evidence suggests that the better bet is focusing their attention on improving the financial stability of Rockford’s families, not promoting school choice. Of course, the Illinois Policy Institute is an “organization that advocates for the free market ideas developed by the Illinois Policy Institute,” apparently, regardless of whether those ideas align with the evidence or not.
by Matt Linick
References
Berliner, D. C., & Biddle, B. J. (1995). The manufactured crisis: Myths, fraud, and the attack on America's public schools. In C. Kridel (Ed.), Classic edition sources, education (Fourth ed., pp. 190-194). New York: McGraw Hill.
Coleman, J. S., Campbell, E. Q., Hobson, C. J., McPartland, J., Mood, A. M., Weinfeld, F. D., & York, R. L. (1966). Equality of educational opportunity. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare.
Linick, M. A. (in press). Measuring Competition: Inconsistent definitions, inconsistent results. Education Policy Analysis Archives, 22 (33).
Newman, K. S., & Chin, M. M. (2003). High stakes: Time poverty, testing, and the children of the working poor. Qualitative Sociology, 26(1), 3-34.
Rouse, C. E., & Barrow, L. (2008). School vouchers and student achievement: Recent evidence, remaining questions. New York: National Center for the Study of Privatization in Education.
Sacks, P. (2007). Tearing down the gates: Confronting the class divide in American education. Los Angeles, CA: University of California Press.
Usher, A., & Kober, N. (2011). Keeping Informed about School Vouchers: A Review of Major Developments and Research. Washington, DC: Center on Education Policy.
Dwyer’s argument that Rockford is second highest in number of low-performing schools, while being the third highest in population (152,871 pop.) blatantly exploits the fact that Aurora, the city second highest in population (197,899 pop.), is split into two districts while Chicago and Rockford are only single districts. Most cities in Illinois have a single public school district, but Elgin is split into an east and a west district. So, while Dwyer is correct that Rockford is the third largest city with the second most low-performing schools, it is also true that Rockford is the second largest district with the second most low-performing schools.
Dwyer’s misuse of the numbers continues as he laments the low test scores in Rockford. In 2013, the percentage of students in Rockford meeting and exceeding standards dropped dramatically, as did the same percentage for most of the state. This is because the “cut scores” for determining whether a student taking the ISAT met or exceeded standards changed in 2013. Prior to the change in cut score, according to the Illinois Interactive Report Card, 60% of Rockford’s 3rd graders met or exceeded standards in reading, and 75% of Rockford’s 3rd graders met or exceeded standards in math.
The biggest, and most unforgivable, transgression in the article is the assertion that the lack of school choice is the only explanation for Rockford’s crisis (ignoring the fact that Chicago is home to some of the most aggressive charter expansion in state, perhaps the country; but, as Dwyer points out, Chicago has 45% of the lowest performing schools in the state). 78.8% of Rockford’s students are identified as “low-income,” up 26.2% since 2000. In fact, while only 36% of Rockford’s low-income 3rd grade students met or exceeded standards in reading, 70% of Rockford’s 3rd grade non-low-income students met or exceeded standards in reading. In mathematics, the split was 32% to 65%; and in science, 41% to 64%. According to the 2013 data from the Illinois State Board of Education, 23,094 of Rockford’s 28,663 students are identified as eligible for free or reduced-price lunch; and, only 277 of Rockford’s students attend a school where less than 50% of the students are eligible for free or reduced-price lunch. While, as Dwyer points out, the majority of Rockford’s students are not performing at grade level, he does not acknowledge that the majority of Rockford’s students are also low-income, or that the students that are not low-income are, for the most part, performing at or above grade level.
Mr. Dwyer presents all of his evidence of Rockford’s failure to educate students in order to arrive at the predetermined political argument that Rockford needs more school choice — although none of the evidence he provides supports the expansion of choice in any way, and none of his evidence is in any way related to school choice. Unfortunately for Mr. Dwyer, the evidence that school choice improves outcomes for students in choice schools is inconclusive (Rouse & Barrow, 2008; Usher & Kober, 2011). The evidence that school choice improves outcomes for students not in choice schools is also inconsistent (Linick, in press). However, there is a voluminous amount of evidence that demonstrates that a student’s socioeconomic status or family’s financial situation matters a great deal (Berliner & Biddle, 1995; Coleman et al., 1966; Newman & Chin, 2003; Sacks, 2007).
The existing base of evidence suggests that it is possible that increasing school choice in Rockford may improve district-wide academic achievement, but it is also suggests that school choice may hinder academic achievement, or have no effect on academic achievement at all (Linick, in press). If the Illinois Policy Institute is truly invested in improving “real-life” outcomes like high school and college graduation, employment, incarceration, and income for Rockford’s students, the evidence suggests that the better bet is focusing their attention on improving the financial stability of Rockford’s families, not promoting school choice. Of course, the Illinois Policy Institute is an “organization that advocates for the free market ideas developed by the Illinois Policy Institute,” apparently, regardless of whether those ideas align with the evidence or not.
References
Berliner, D. C., & Biddle, B. J. (1995). The manufactured crisis: Myths, fraud, and the attack on America's public schools. In C. Kridel (Ed.), Classic edition sources, education (Fourth ed., pp. 190-194). New York: McGraw Hill.
Coleman, J. S., Campbell, E. Q., Hobson, C. J., McPartland, J., Mood, A. M., Weinfeld, F. D., & York, R. L. (1966). Equality of educational opportunity. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Health, Education, and Welfare.
Linick, M. A. (in press). Measuring Competition: Inconsistent definitions, inconsistent results. Education Policy Analysis Archives, 22 (33).
Newman, K. S., & Chin, M. M. (2003). High stakes: Time poverty, testing, and the children of the working poor. Qualitative Sociology, 26(1), 3-34.
Rouse, C. E., & Barrow, L. (2008). School vouchers and student achievement: Recent evidence, remaining questions. New York: National Center for the Study of Privatization in Education.
Sacks, P. (2007). Tearing down the gates: Confronting the class divide in American education. Los Angeles, CA: University of California Press.
Usher, A., & Kober, N. (2011). Keeping Informed about School Vouchers: A Review of Major Developments and Research. Washington, DC: Center on Education Policy.
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